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Energy price cap: Average bills to fall by more than £100 – but predictions say they will rise again | Business News

The average annual energy bill will be £506 cheaper than a year ago from July, the sector’s regulator has announced.

The energy price cap – which limits what can be charged per unit of energy – is due to fall from the month after next.

It means the average annual bill will be £1,568 a year, 7% less than at present.

But while the July figure is a reduction, bills are still more expensive than before.

Before the energy price shock, caused primarily by Russia’s invasion of Ukraine in February 2022, a standard 12-monthly bill was £1,084.

Money latest: Energy bills fall – but predictions say they will rise again

So compared with three years ago, energy is costing homes an extra £484.

During the current period from 1 April to 30 June, the energy price cap is set at £1,690 per year for a typical bill.

Energy regulator Ofgem sets the cap four times a year, with the latest announcement applying from July to September.

The overall rate of inflation came down in April – in large part thanks to the current higher cap which came into effect that month and brought prices down for energy users, according to the Office for National Statistics.

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Price cap model faces review

However, many households are in debt to energy providers.

“The fall in the energy price cap reduces bills slightly, but our data tells us millions have fallen into the red or are unable to cover their essential costs every month,” said Dame Clare Moriarty, the chief executive of Citizens Advice.

“People cannot rely on lower energy prices alone to escape the financial issues they’ve been experiencing. That’s why we need better targeted energy bill support for those really struggling to keep the lights on or cook a hot meal.”

More expense to come

Latest forecasts suggest bills will increase again coming into winter as wholesale gas costs are on the rise.

Respected research firm Cornwall Insight said it expects the fall announced today “may be temporary”.

It predicts a typical bill will increase to £1,762 from October and remain around this level until the end of March.

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Gas prices reached four-month highs earlier this week on concerns that Russia could halt gas flows to Austrian multinational oil, gas and petrochemical company OMV and that US exports to Europe may be damaged by a contractor at a Texas terminal filing for bankruptcy protection.

Women in UK face average wait of almost nine years for endometriosis diagnosis | UK News

Women in the UK are waiting almost nine years for an endometriosis diagnosis, according to research that found many women are “dismissed, ignored and belittled”.

The study by the charity Endometriosis UK found waiting times for the condition to be formally identified have significantly deteriorated since the pandemic, increasing to an average of eight years and 10 months – up 10 months since 2020.

The report, which surveyed 4,371 women, also found that almost half of respondents had visited their GP 10 or more times with symptoms before receiving a diagnosis.

Endometriosis is a condition where tissue similar to the lining of the womb grows in other places, such as the ovaries and fallopian tubes.

It impacts around one in 10 women and symptoms can vary from person to person.

“My periods are… painful to the point where I’m bedbound,” said Sanchia Alasia, who was diagnosed with the disease in 2010, after 15 years of symptoms.

Sanchia Alasia, was diagnosed with endometriosis in 2010, after 15 years of struggling with the condition
Image:
Sanchia Alasia

As a former mayor of a London borough, she has led a busy and productive life – but pain and discomfort were never far away.

“I’ve missed so many engagements,” she said.

“I remember missing my nephew’s funeral. I’ve missed dinners, day trips. I wouldn’t even count the amount of money I’ve lost over things that I’ve booked and not been able to attend.

“It can be incredibly frustrating,” she added.

Emma Cox, chief executive of Endometriosis UK, said the problems with diagnoses persist because symptoms are often misunderstood.

“Day to day, without a diagnosis, some people have real issues both physical and mental health, because they’ll be in severe pain,” Ms Cox said.

If left undiagnosed and untreated, endometriosis can lead to worsening physical symptoms and even permanent organ damage.

The charity’s research showed that, while women in England and Scotland wait an average of eight years and 10 months for a diagnosis, those in Northern Ireland wait nine years and five months, and those in Wales wait nine years and 11 months.

It also found that 52% of respondents had visited A&E at least once due to symptoms of endometriosis.

Emma Cox, CEO of charity Endometriosis UK
Image:
Emma Cox, chief executive of charity Endometriosis UK

Ms Cox said: “We want this to be a real wake-up call for governments and the NHS.

“What we’d like to see is a commitment from the NHS and governments in each nation in the UK, to have a target of an average diagnosis time, by a year or less by 2030.

“We believe that’s doable,” she added.

Read more:
Endometriosis: My search for a cure
Women in severe pain put off GP visits because of ‘gaslighting’
Diagnosis came after ‘years of agony’

Minister for the Women’s Health Strategy, Maria Caulfield, admitted more needs to be done to improve women’s experiences of the healthcare system.

“From getting an initial diagnosis to getting the right care and treatment, we must learn from this report,” she said.

“We launched our Women’s Health Strategy to do just this – listen to women. Endometriosis is a priority area within our strategy, so expect to see more in this space.

“Through the strategy, we are working to turn ‘dismissed, ignored and belittled’ into ‘listened to, understood and empowered’.”

‘Crisis’ in barrister numbers as average wait for rape victims exceeds five years | Politics News

There is a “crisis” in the number of barristers available for rape and serious sexual offence (RASSO) cases, a new survey has shown.

The Criminal Bar Association (CBA) said 64% of prosecutors and 66% of defence barristers will not reapply to work on RASSO court lists going forward due to the low legal aid fees they are paid and the impact on their wellbeing.

Politics live: Cameron holds ‘very important’ meeting over detained British man

The figures come as the average wait for a bailed rape trial to conclude from the day of an alleged offence hit around five and a half years – including an average wait of 18 months from someone being charged until the end of the trial.

The CBA said many cases were now waiting longer than 18 months, with members telling them of court dates being set for the end of 2026, despite the charges happening in 2022.

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Chair of the organisation, Tana Adkin KC, said barristers were “committed to do everything [they] can to address the backlog and continue providing the highest quality advocacy whilst ensuring the vulnerable, complainants and the accused alike are heard”.

But, she said, without “urgent intervention” from the government, the delays will only continue to grow, adding: “Our ability to deliver what government wants, what courts require and the public expects is currently unsustainable.”

More on Ministry Of Justice

According to figures from the CBA, there has been a 30% fall in income for barristers over the past 20 years, with some specialist criminal barristers taking home an average of £12,000 a year after expenses in their first three years at the bar.

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Why did barristers go on strike over fees?

Following strike action in 2022, the government increased legal aid fees by 15% – but the CBA argued this was the bare minimum recommended in an independent review of charges, and higher pay was needed to keep people in the profession, with swathes of young barristers quitting the courts.

Now, according to the survey, barristers will be walking away from RASSO cases altogether, which represent nearly 9,800 cases in the current backlog of over 66,000 in crown court – up 226% from the historic low of 3,005 at the end of 2018.

A total of six out of 10 of the 780 barristers who responded to the survey cited poor legal aid fees as the reason for refusing to take on RASSO cases in the future, while half pointed to poor well-being as a result of the challenging work.

“Doing nothing to increase RASSO fees is not an option unless we want to accept that rape and serious sexual offence trials will continue to be delayed for years, repeatedly postponed on the day because there is no barrister to prosecute or defend,” added Ms Adkin.

“The human cost for victims of these crimes as well as innocent defendants is beyond financial measure.”

Sky News has contacted the Ministry of Justice for a response.

Good news for homeowners with average house price predicted to be £45,000 higher by 2028 | Business News

There could be some good news ahead for homeowners with house prices expected to be around £45,000 higher on average by 2028, according to a forecast.

Property adviser Savills, which released the research, said the market looks set to “bottom out” around the middle of next year.

Across Britain, the average property value will increase to £300,108 in 2028, marking a £45,521 or 17.9% increase from an average house price of £254,587 in 2023, according to Savills.

The average house price is projected to fall by 3.0% in 2024 but Savills said this will be followed by price increases in 2025, 2026, 2027 and 2028 as affordability pressures slowly ease.

Lucian Cook, head of residential research at Savills, said: “Interest rates are expected to have peaked and the worst of the house prices falls look to be behind us, but the first cut to rates still looks to be some way off.

“This means continued affordability pressures are likely to result in further modest house price falls over the first half of 2024, resulting in a peak-to-trough house price adjustment in the order of minus 10%.

“The expectation of a gradual reduction in rates suggests a progressive restoration of buying power and steady recovery in demand.”

Transactions are expected to remain at around 1.01 million in 2024, rising to 1.16 million per year at the end of the forecast period in 2028, as mortgage buyers gradually return to the market.

The research used data from Oxford Economics and Nationwide Building Society.

Below are the average house prices predicted by Savills by 2028, followed by the increase it predicts compared with 2023 house prices in cash terms:

• North East, £186,695, £32,940
• Wales, £239,663, £42,224
• North West, £241,944, £40,645
• Scotland, £206,850, £34,820
• Yorkshire and the Humber, £230,323, £38,692
• West Midlands, £283,954, £47,799
• East Midlands, £266,712, £43,759
• South West, £348,082, £52,797
• South East, £423,702, £60,642
• East of England, £397,060, £56,830
• London, £577,256, £70,376

The forecasts apply to average prices in the second hand property market. New-build property values may not move at the same rate.

Only a third of hospitality firms optimistic about their future – as average energy prices rise by 81% | UK News

Only a third of UK hospitality businesses are optimistic about their future due to high energy prices and rising food costs, industry bosses have warned.

Pub, bars and restaurants say their energy prices have surged an average of 81% over the past year, on top of rising food and wage bills.

Wholesale gas prices, which rocketed following Russia’s February 2022 invasion of Ukraine, have dipped to their lowest levels since the conflict started.

But with retail prices still falling back into line – and with some pubs and restaurants locked into long-term fixed rate contracts – hospitality bosses say just 29% of businesses say they feel optimistic about the next 12 months.

They say that pubs, bars and restaurants have been at “breaking point for a year now” and warn venues will shut for good if cost pressures do not ease soon.

Four of the UK’s largest hospitality industry groups – the British Institute of Innkeeping, UKHospitality, the British Beer and Pub Association and Hospitality Ulster – have issued a plea to the government for more support.

Food being served at The Hand and Flowers in Marlow, Buckinghamshire that has become the first British pub to receive two Michelin stars.
Image:
File pic

In a statement, they say: “The Energy Bill Relief Scheme has provided a short respite but with that falling away last month businesses are back to paying high costs, with no end in sight for the thousands locked into contracts who will be obligated to pay extortionate rates well into next year.

“The government must recognise this crisis isn’t just crippling businesses now.

“Left unresolved it will have a lasting wider impact long into the future, impacting local employment, supply chains and removing essential community hubs from villages, towns and cities across the whole of the UK.”

It comes as data collected by CGA by NielsenIQ on behalf of the groups reveals that 86% of hospitality firms are worried about energy costs going forward.

Last month, analysis of official Government data by the commercial real estate specialist Altus Group found more than 150 pubs have disappeared for good from English and Welsh communities over the first three months of 2023.

This represents a 60 per cent jump on levels from last year.

“Put simply, this data is extremely worrying for thousands of otherwise viable hospitality businesses,” the groups say.

Read more:
Number of restaurants entering liquidation up by almost 50%
Pubs and restaurants cut menu items as inflation pressures mount

The government announced its Energy Bill Relief Scheme – which provides a discount on gas prices for businesses – in October last year.

The scheme, which the government says saved businesses a total of £6.9bn on energy costs, was due to expire in March.

However, it was renewed as the Energy Bill Discount Scheme in January to help businesses, including those signed up to expensive longer-term deals.

The new scheme – which offers a lower level of support than the previous one – is due to run until March 2024.

A government spokesperson said: “Global energy prices have fallen significantly and are now at their lowest level since before Russia’s illegal invasion of Ukraine.

“The new level of government support reflects this welcome fall in prices, but we will continue to stand by businesses.

“We are also assisting the hospitality sector with support such as freezing of alcohol duty, cutting energy bills, a £13.6billion business rates relief package and a £2.4billion fuel duty cut.”

Energy price cap falls significantly as Ofgem reveals new level for average bills | Business News

The energy price cap on household bills has fallen to an annual average of £2,074 between July and September, removing some of the financial pain inflicted by the unprecedented surge in gas and electricity costs.

Industry regulator Ofgem made the announcement against a backdrop of good news for the cost of living crisis – with wholesale energy prices falling.

They spiked last year after Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, which saw both oil and natural gas costs shoot up – a situation that was made worse by the imposition of sanctions on the Kremlin by Western governments.

The new cap figure compares to the £3,280 level set by Ofgem for March-June, meaning a £1,206 reduction in the cap from July and a reduction in average bills by £426 a year.

Latest:
Updates and reaction as new price cap announced

However, that cap is currently irrelevant.

That is because the government’s energy price guarantee (EPG), which limits the amount suppliers can charge per unit of energy used, ran throughout the autumn and winter months and remains in force until 1 July.

That keeps bills at around an average annual level of £2,500.

There is no further taxpayer support on the table from July onwards.

The price cap, which is reviewed every three months, will take over again from then. A typical bill should be around £500 cheaper on a 12-month basis.

Current projections predict a stable outlook for energy bills at around the £2,000 level but such a sum remains more than £1,000 above the pre-pandemic average and much will depend on the potential for further wholesale market shocks.

Gas supplies remain the core worry for prices ahead.

Day-ahead wholesale costs peaked at an industry measure of 570p per therm last August but are currently at 66p.

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IMF: Cost of living crisis to continue

Longer term contracts are more expensive, with year’s end delivery at double that level at around 129p.

That reflects the likelihood of increased demand as winter approaches.

Simon Cran-McGreehin, head of analysis at the Energy and Climate Intelligence Unit, said of Ofgem’s announcement: “Whilst the falling price cap is a relief for households, this gas crisis will linger, with wholesale price forecasts suggesting that the average household energy bill might not get below £1,700 a year for the rest of this decade.

“That’s around £600 (about 50%) above where it was before the gas crisis.”

He also warned: “If we don’t get on with insulating homes, installing heat pumps and building more renewables, gas demand will remain high and that means bills will too.”

The cost of living crisis is set to linger.

While fuel bills have fallen back – with energy set to follow – the latest inflation data showed food costs continuing to rise at an annual rate of almost 20%.

Economists have pointed to a rise in so-called core inflation, which strips out volatile elements such as food, as putting further pressure on the Bank of England to maintain its cycle of interest rate hikes.

They make the immediate pressure on budgets worse by adding to borrowing costs but are designed to dampen demand, and therefore prices, in the economy in the longer term.

UK average annual temperature was 10C or more for first time in 2022, Met Office says | Climate News

The UK recorded an average annual temperature of more than 10C (50F) for the first time in 2022, the Met Office has said.

The national weather service also said 2022 was the country’s hottest on record, confirming provisional figures that the year would set a new record.

The mean temperature across the 12 months was 10.03C, beating the previous all-time high of 9.88C in 2014.

The hot temperatures fuelled prolonged drought, threatened crops and drove hundreds of excess deaths.

Such a freakishly hot year is now likely to happen every three to four years, the analysis warned. Whereas once it would have struck just once in 500 years, had humans not polluted and warmed the climate.

Met Office Climate Attribution Scientist, Dr Nikos Christidis, said a UK average temperature of 10C “could occur almost every year” by the end of this century, if the planet warms by around 2.7C as is currently projected.

It means all the top 10 warmest years since records began in 1884 have occurred in just the past two decades.

That is why Dr Mark McCarthy, head of the Met Office National Climate Information Centre, said the news about 2022 “comes as no surprise”.

Even the notable cold spell in December did not dent last year’s record average temperature. In fact, there hasn’t been a top ten coldest year in 60 years, and most of them fell before 1920.

Read more: Why is it so cold, even though climate change is making the world hotter?

Scores of other records were smashed all around the globe last year, which also saw Europe’s worst drought in 500 years, savage heat in India, and multibillion dollar losses from Hurricane Ian in Florida and from flooding in Pakistan.

Burning fossil fuels, intensive animal farming and slashing down forests are contributing to the rising global temperature, which in turn is driving costly, violent and extreme weather.

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Ski slopes in the Alps are facing a snow shortage as warm January weather breaks records across Europe.

All four UK nations set new records in 2022, with England seeing the highest average temperature at 10.94C, followed by Wales (10.23C), Northern Ireland (9.85C) and Scotland (8.50C).

The year saw temperatures reach their highest ever in the country, with the mercury reaching 40.3C (104.5F) in Lincolnshire on 19 July.

Watch the Daily Climate Show at 3.30pm Monday to Friday, and The Climate Show with Tom Heap on Saturday and Sunday at 3.30pm and 7.30pm.

All on Sky News, on the Sky News website and app, on YouTube and Twitter.

The show investigates how global warming is changing our landscape and highlights solutions to the crisis.