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UK economy continued to flatline in July recording no growth as Labour came to power – ONS | Business News

There was no growth in the UK economy in July, official figures show.

It’s the second month of stagnation, the Office for National Statistics (ONS) said as GDP – the measure of everything produced in the UK – flatlined in the weeks following the election of the Labour government.

The flatline was not expected by economists, who had anticipated growth.

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Economists polled by the Reuters news agency forecast the economy would expand by 0.2%.

Some signs of growth

But there’s “longer-term strength” in the services sector meaning there was growth over the last three months as a whole and 0.5% expansion in the three months up to July.

Among the G7 group of industrialised nations, the UK had the highest growth rate for the first six months of 2024.

Why stagnation?

While there was growth in the services sector, led by computer programmers and the end of strikes in health, these gains were offset by falls for advertising companies, architects and engineers.

Manufacturing output fell overall due to “a particularly poor month for car and machinery firms”, the ONS said, while construction also declined.

What will it mean for interest rates?

Market expectations are for interest rates to remain unchanged by the Bank of England when they meet next week to consider their next move in the fight against inflation.

The central bank had raised the rate and made borrowing more expensive to reduce inflation.

A cut in November, at the next meeting of rate-setters, is expected. Rates are forecast to be brought down to 4.75% at that point.

Political reaction

In response to the figures Chancellor Rachel Reeves said:

“I am under no illusion about the scale of the challenge we face and I will be honest with the British people that change will not happen overnight. Two-quarters of positive economic growth does not make up for 14 years of stagnation.

“That is why we are taking the long-term decisions now to fix the foundations of our economy.”

Two men charged with murder of footballer Cody Fisher to stand trial in July | UK News

Two men charged with the murder of footballer Cody Fisher have been told they will stand trial in July.

Kami Carpenter, 21, and Remy Gordon, 22, have been charged with killing the 23-year-old at the Crane nightclub in Birmingham, just before midnight on Boxing Day.

Gordon, of Cofton Park Drive, Birmingham, and Carpenter, of no fixed address, today appeared at Birmingham Crown Court.

Judge Paul Farrer KC ordered a trial in the case to start on 3 July.

He also fixed a plea and trial preparation hearing for 17 March.

Gordon and Carpenter were both remanded in custody.

Mr Fisher, 23, who played for Stratford Town FC, was stabbed to death on the dance floor of the Crane nightclub in Digbeth shortly before 11.45pm on Boxing Day.

The nightclub had its licence suspended for 28 days on Friday following accusations from West Midlands Police that there had been “serious management failings” at the venue on the night Mr Fisher died.

Birmingham city councillors said they will consider whether to close the club permanently at a full review hearing in the future.

Officers recovered a knife from the scene, and a post-mortem examination confirmed that Mr Fisher, 23, died of a stab wound.

Cost of living: Retail sales recover slightly in July with 0.3% rise but but long-term decline persists | Business News

UK retail sales rose in July but the longer-term downward trend in consumer spending shows no sign of abating, official data shows.

Sales increased by 0.3% in July, which was much higher than economists’ forecasts of a 0.2% drop, according to the Office for National Statistics.

But sales fell by 1.2% in the three months to July when compared with the previous period, continuing the decline since last summer.

Sales are 3.4% lower than last July in further evidence that people are tightening their belts in the face of the cost-of-living crisis.

A revision of June’s retail figures also put sales slightly lower, with a 0.2% drop rather than 0.1%, in a sign that shopping activity was slower than previously thought, the ONS reported.

ONS director of economic statistics Darren Morgan said: “Retail sales nudged up very slightly in July, but looking at the longer-term picture, they are continuing the downward trend which started last summer.

“Online sales did pick up this month, as retailers told us that sales were boosted by a range of offers and promotions.

“However, fuel sales fell with some evidence suggesting the very hot weather meant fewer people travelling.

“Clothing and household goods sales declined again, with feedback continuing to indicate consumers are cutting back due to increased prices and concerns around affordability and cost of living.”

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What is driving the inflation spike?

Read more:
How everyday items have risen in price in the past 12 months
Three things that need to happen for prices to return to normal

It comes as new research indicated consumer confidence is at an all-time low in light of “acute concerns” about the soaring cost of living and bleak economic outlook.

The Bank of England has warned that escalating inflation is likely to tip the UK into recession later this year.

The Consumer Prices Index (CPI) soared to 10.1% in the 12 months to July, up from 9.4% in June and remaining at the highest level since February 1982, driven by an increase in food prices on top of previous sharp rises in household energy bills.

Channel crossings in July hit highest monthly total of year so far amid reports of new deal with France | Politics News

The number of migrants crossing the Channel in July was the highest monthly of the year so far, with 3,683 making the journey in 90 boats, according to government figures.

The new total – the highest of any month in 2022 – comes amid reports Home Secretary Priti Patel will sign another multi-million pound deal with France to try to reduce the numbers.

According to the Times, the money will go towards more beach patrols and surveillance equipment, and be in addition to millions already paid to the country.

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It also comes a month after new laws increasing the maximum penalty for those illegally entering the UK to four years in prison, and life in prison for those piloting the boats.

The government announced its plan to send migrants who arrive illegally in the UK to Rwanda just three months ago, saying it would deter people from making the Channel crossings.

But the first flight to the country was cancelled after a last minute order from the European Court of Human Rights, and 11,131 migrants have arrived in the UK since.

More on Migrant Crossings

Ms Patel has continued to stand by the plan, saying the government would “not be deterred from doing the right thing [and] we will not be put off by the inevitable last-minute legal challenges”.

And both candidates for the Tory leadership, Liz Truss and Rishi Sunak, have committed to the scheme.

Home Secretary Priti Patel arrives at 10 Downing Street,
Image:
Reports claim Priti Patel is about to sign a new deal with France to try to curb Channel crossings

But opposition parties and charities – reportedly even Prince Charles – have claimed the policy is inhumane.

Last month, court documents revealed Ms Patel was warned against pursuing the scheme, with the UK’s High Commissioner to Rwanda saying the country “has been accused of recruiting refugees to conduct armed operations in neighbouring countries”.

More than 40,000 BT workers to begin strike action at the end of July, union says | Business News

More than 40,000 BT workers will go on strike on 29 July and 1 August, the Communication Workers Union (CWU) has said.

The union said the industrial action may cause “significant issues” for those working from home and is likely to have a “serious effect” on the rollout of ultra-fast broadband.

BT staff voted last month to go on strike for the first time in 35 years, with union bosses arguing that a £1,500 pay rise proposed by the company was inadequate to help staff deal with the cost of living crisis.

The former state-owned monopoly is responsible for answering all 999 calls and has been drawing up contingency plans to manage any disruption, Sky News understands.

CWU general secretary Dave Ward said: “For the first time since 1987, strike action will now commence at BT Group.

“This is not a case of an employer refusing to meet a union’s demands – this is about an employer refusing to meet us whatsoever.

“The serious disruption this strike may cause is entirely down to [chief executive] Philip Jansen and his friends, who have chosen to stick two fingers up to their own workforce.”

Read more: BT shows it is not as stretched financially as it was a few years ago

He said BT staff had received a real-terms pay cut as a reward for working “under great difficulty” during the pandemic.

“These are the same workers who kept the country connected during the pandemic,” he said.

“Without CWU members in BT Group, there would have been no home-working revolution, and vital technical infrastructure may have malfunctioned or been broken when our country most needed it.”

He said Mr Jansen had “gifted himself” a £3.5m pay package amounting to a 32% pay increase, while BT’s chief financial officer received £2.2m – a 25% increase.

He said £700m has also been paid out to shareholders.

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“The reason for the strike is simple: workers will not accept a massive deterioration in their living standards,” Mr Ward said.

“We won’t have bosses using Swiss banks while workers are using food banks.

“BT Group workers are saying: enough is enough. We are not going to stop until we win.”

Deputy general secretary Andy Kerr said management had refused to meet the union to negotiate a pay deal.

BT says its pay award was the highest in 20 years

BT Group said it will work to minimise any disruption and “keep our customers and country connected” using “tried and tested processes” for large-scale absences which were proven to work during the pandemic.

The company said it spent two months negotiating with the CWU at the start of this year.

“When it became clear that we were not going to reach an accord, we took the decision to go ahead with awarding our team member and frontline colleagues the highest pay award in more than 20 years, effective 1st April,” a spokesperson said.

“We have confirmed to the CWU that we won’t be re-opening the 2022 pay review, having already made the best award we could.

“We’re balancing the complex and competing demands of our stakeholders and that includes making once-in-a-generation investments to upgrade the country’s broadband and mobile networks, vital for the UK economy and for BT Group’s future – including our people.”

BT is among a string of companies, including British Airways and Royal Mail, that are facing the most significant industrial unrest for years as millions of Britons struggle to cope with soaring inflation.